Conference on the Value Added of Value-Added Taxes
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Thursday, May 9, 2018

9:00--9:30 am         Breakfast and Welcome
                             Jim Brumby
, World Bank       

9:30--10:15 am       Keynote Speech 
                             Joel Slemrod, University of Michigan

10:15--11:25 am     Paper Session I – Compliance and Enforcement

                            “Information, Asymmetric Incentives, or Withholding?
                             Understanding the Self-Enforcement of Value-Added Tax”
                             Mazhar Waseem, University of Manchester
Discussant: Andrew Zeitlin, Georgetown University

     “Strategic or Confused Firms? Evidence from 'Missing'
     Transactions in Uganda” Miguel Almunia, CUNEF,
     Jonas Hjort, Justine Knebelmann, and Lin Tian
     Discussant: Oyebola Okunogbe, World Bank

11:25--11:40 a.m.    Break

11:40--12:40 pm      Policymaker Round Table on VAT Reform
                             Moderators:  World Bank Global Team

12:40--1:45 pm       Lunch with Policymakers
                             Informal follow-up on round table discussions

1:45--2:45 pm         Egg-timer Session (4 Projects)
                             10 minutes each + discussion time

                             “Building Fiscal Capacity in Developing Countries: Evidence on
                              the Role of Information Technology” Merima Ali, Chr.
                              Michelsen Institute and Syracuse University
, Abulaziz B. Shifa,
                              Abebe Shimeless, and Firew Woldeyes

     “Merging to Dodge Taxes? Unexpected Consequences of VAT
     Adoption in India.” Divya Singh, Columbia University

     “An Analysis of Discrepancies in Taxpayers’ VAT Declarations in
     Rwanda” Giulia Mascagni, D. Mukama, and Fabrizio Santoro,
     Institute of Development Studies

     “Red Tape? The Revenue Impact of the VAT Filing Thresholds”
     Jan Luksic and Shekhar Mittal, University of California, Berkeley

2:45--3:00 pm         Break

3:00--4:45 pm         Paper Session 2 – Effect on Trade Flows and Investment

                             “A New Method for Estimating Value-Added Tax Compliance”
                             Peter Morrow, Michael Smart, University of Toronto, and Artur Swistak
                             Discussant: TBD

     “Do Value-Added Taxes Affect International Trade Flows?
     Evidence from 30 Years of Tax Reforms” Youssef Benzarti,
     Alisa Tazhitdinova, University of California, Santa Barbara, and
     Lior Bar-El
     Discussant: TBD

     “Tax Policy and Lumpy Investment Behavior: Evidence from
     China’s VAT Reform” Zhao Chen, Xian Jiang, Zhikuo Liu, Juan
     Carlos Suárez Serrato
, Duke University, and Daniel Yi Xu
     Discussant: Dorian Carloni, Congressional Budget Office                                   


Friday, May 10, 2019

9:30--10:40 am       Paper Session 3 – Incidence

     “Consumption Taxes with Informality: Theory and Cross-
     Country Evidence from Expenditure Diaries” Pierre Bachas,
     World Bank, Lucie Gadenne, and Anders Jensen
     Discussant: Joel Slemrod, University of Michigan

                             “Redistribution via VAT and Cash Transfers: An Assessment in
                             Six Low- and Middle-Income Countries” Tom Harris, David Phillips,
                             Institute for Fiscal Studies, Ross Warwick, Maya Goldman, Jon
                             Jellema, Gabriela Inchauste, and Karolina Goraus
                             Discussant: Nada Eissa, Georgetown University                                   

10:40--11:00 am     Break

11:00--12:00 pm    Egg-timer Session (4 Projects)
10 minutes each + discussion time

                            “Technological Change and Tax Capacity: Evidence from a
                            Financial Inclusion Reform in Uruguay” Anne Brockmeyer
                            and Juliana Londoño Vélez, University of California, Berkeley

                           “The Price and Welfare Effects of the Value-Added Tax:
                            Evidence from Mexico” Rodrigo Mariscal, Mexico’s Ministry
                            of Finance
, and Alejandro Werner

   “Bunching into VAT: Theory and Evidence from China” Luis
   Alejos and Xuan Wang, University of Michigan

   “Elimination of Tax Distortions on Capital Goods through the
   VAT and Capital Investments by Financially Constrained Firms:
   Evidence from Indian States” Abhay Aneja, Nirumpama
, CAFRAL, Reserve Bank of India, and S. K. Ritadhi

12:00--1:00 pm      Lunch

1:00--2:10 pm        Paper Session 4 – Networks

                            “Taxation and Supplier Networks: Evidence from India” Lucie
, University of Warwick, Tushar Nandi, and Roland Rathelot
                            Discussant:  TBD

                            “Dual Tax Systems and Firms: Evidence from Brazil” François Gérard,
                            Joana Naritomi, London School of Economics, and Arthur Seibold
                            Discussant: Enlinson Mattos, Sao Paulo School of Economics - FGV

2:10--2:30 pm         Break

2:30--3:40 pm         Paper Session 5 – General Equilibrium Analysis                                     

                              “Harnessing Deductions to Increase Tax Compliance and
                              Formalization” Albrecht Bohne, ZEW – Mannheim, and Jan
                              Sebastian Nimczik 
                              Discussant:  Wojciech Kopczuk, Columbia University

                              “VAT Notches, Voluntary Registration, and Bunching: Theory
                              and UK Evidence” Li Liu, Ben Lockwood, University of
, Miguel Almunia, and Eddy H. F. Tam
                              Discusssant:  Annette Alstadsæter, Norwegian University of
                              Life Sciences

3:40--4:30 pm         Concluding Policy Panel: Which Questions Would
                             Policymakers Like Us to Study?

7:00 pm                 Optional Evening Activity (e.g. Cruise on the Potomac)


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