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Claes Fornell
  Claes Fornell
 

Customer Satisfaction's Continued Rebound Bodes Well

2/24/2006 --

The ACSI improves for the third straight quarter as e-commerce continues as the highest-scoring sector.

ANN ARBOR, Mich.—In a good sign for consumer spending, customer satisfaction continued a slow and steady climb in the fourth quarter, according to the Ross School of Business' American Customer Satisfaction Index (ACSI).

The ACSI, which measured customer satisfaction with the quality of products and services in retail, financial services and e-commerce during the fourth quarter 2005, is up 0.4 percent over the previous quarter to an aggregate score of 73.5. Year over year, it remains slightly below 2004, however.

"The ACSI's measure of satisfaction historically has led to repeat business and increased spending, and the new data suggest that consumer spending will rebound," said Claes Fornell, a marketing professor at the Ross School and director of the U-M's National Quality Research Center, which compiles and analyzes the data. "But the negative savings rate suggests that consumers have been spending beyond their means, which may affect the degree to which spending will increase."

Variation Among Major Retailers: Target Gains, Home Depot Falls

This year, the ACSI added health and personal care stores to the retail sector, which also includes supermarkets, department and discount stores, specialty retail stores and gas stations. The overall retail sector declined slightly to 72.4, a decrease of 0.3 percent and still well below its all-time high of 75.7 achieved in the first year of measurement in 1994.

In the department and discount stores industry, Home Depot posted the biggest decline among any company measured this quarter with an 8.2 percent drop to 67. Its major competitor, Lowe's, on the other hand, gained 2.6 percent to 78 and now leads Home Depot by 14 percent. Lowe's and Home Depot both scored 75 when the ACSI first measured the companies in 2001. But since then, Home Depot has declined 10 percent and Lowe's has gone up 130 percent.

The quality component is one of the most critical in ACSI, and Home Depot experienced the largest decline in perceived quality of any company measured in the fourth quarter, said Jack West, a past president of the American Society for Quality.

"Home Depot's state of the art quality techniques are more focused on internal systems for operational efficiency and productivity," he said. "These things are largely transparent to the consumer and would take a while to be reflected in perceived quality ratings, if they're ever noticed by the consumer at all."

Among major retailers, Kohl's continues to lead with a score of 80, up a point from last year. But the biggest positive mover is Target, which climbed 4 percent to 78. Consistent with its improved ACSI score, Target also posted strong sales in the fourth quarter, beating Wall Street expectations with a same-store gain of 4.7 percent. Costco rounded out the top scorers at 79, and also beat the Street with same-store sales growth of 7 percent.

Wal-Mart (72) and Kmart (70) were again at the bottom of the ACSI's department and discount store category, although Kmart improved 4.5 percent—showing that it is making moves to stay competitive. Lower scores correlated with more modest sales growth, with Wal-Mart's same-store sales up 2.2 percent and Kmart up 1 percent.

The health and personal care retail industry makes its ACSI debut at 76, highest of all the measured industries in the retail sector. High quality of service in the category leads to higher overall satisfaction, and the range within the category is fairly tight compared to the spread of scores in other industries. There is little variation between Walgreen's (76) at the top and Rite Aid (72) at the bottom, with CVS falling in the middle (74).

E-Commerce Scores Highest: Amazon Rebounds, eBay Holds Steady

The e-commerce sector climbs 1.3 percent to 79.6, still below its all-time high of 80.8 in 2003 but definitely on the rebound and maintaining its lead over the ACSI aggregate score and the offline retail sector. For the fourth year in a row, the online retail industry within the e-commerce sector continues to satisfy customers better than any other industry in the fourth quarter, moving up 1.3 percent to 81. E-retail customer satisfaction is almost 12 percent higher than the overall retail industry.

"Online retail is figuring out ways to compensate for being a virtual experience by providing a lot more information than you’d be able to find in-store," said Larry Freed, online satisfaction expert and president and CEO of ForeSee Results. "Many online stores offer extensive product information, side by side specification comparisons, customer reviews and 360-degree views, all from the convenience of your computer."

Amazon made up most of the ground it lost last year, up 3.6 percent to 87, and is now tied with BarnesandNoble.com for the highest score of any retailer or service provider in the ACSI. Although customer satisfaction improved, Amazon's profits fell in the fourth quarter, partly due to investments in customer benefits like new technology and free shipping.

The online auction industry improved 1.3 percent to its all-time high score of 78. After a year in which it saw a steep decline, industry leader eBay improved to 81, well above any other company in the category but still below its 2003 peak of 84.

The industry score for travel Web sites like Expedia (79), Travelocity (75) and Orbitz (74) improved by 1 percent to 79. A year ago, the big three were within a point of each other. In 2005, Expedia pulled away with an ability to differentiate itself with new products, such as cruises and packages from popular resorts.

Banks Steady, Big Drops for Prudential MetLife and Farmer’s Group

In the finance and insurance sectors, health care insurance (68) and property insurance (78) are up 1.5 percent and 1.3 percent, respectively, while banks and life insurance hold steady at 75.

Retail banking matched its all-time high of 75 with Wachovia solidifying its lead at 79, a 1 percent increase over last year. The life insurance category holds steady, though Prudential (72) and MetLife (71) took sharp drops of 6.5 percent and 7.8 percent, respectively.

"A decline in service and increase in premiums are pretty sure to make customers upset," said Fornell, referring to Prudential and MetLife's falling ACSI scores.

Most of the property and casualty insurance category held steady, but Farmers Group suffered a big drop of 5.2 percent, falling to 73, or about 6 percent below the category score.

The ACSI is produced by the Ross School in partnership with the American Society for Quality and CFI Group, and supported in part by ForeSee Results, e-commerce co-sponsor.

The index is a national economic indicator of customer evaluations of the quality of products and services available to household consumers in the United States. It is updated each quarter with new measures for different sectors of the economy replacing data from the prior year. The overall ACSI score for a given quarter factors in scores from more than 200 companies in 42 industries and from government agencies over the previous four quarters.

For more information, see http://www.theacsi.org

For more information, contact:
Bernie DeGroat
Phone: (734) 936-1015 or 647-1847
Email: bernied@umich.edu